The Bayesian Heresy

Economics, global development,current affairs, globalization, culture and more rants on the dismal science, and the society. "As usual, it's like being a kid in a candy store. I'm awed by the volume of high-quality daily links in general. Thanks!" - Chris Blattman

Showing posts with label Predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Predictions. Show all posts
Sunday, September 18, 2011

Highly Recommended Podcast- Expert Prediction

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The Folly of Prediction TETLOCK: That experts thought they knew more than they knew.That there was a systematic gap between subjectiv...
Saturday, June 12, 2010

Play the Fantasy World Cup

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McDonald's FIFA World Cup Fantasy ...
Sunday, May 16, 2010

Future Shock

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“ What the statistics point to is a rise in Facebook, a decline in blogging, and before that, a decline in personal Web pages. The trend is ...
Sunday, May 25, 2008

Predict and Prevent

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Friday, April 11, 2008

Econ Bloggersphere Next Week

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I predict there will be lot of talk about Fed transcripts Related; The World Next Week: April 11, 2008
1 comment:

Link for the Weekend

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Rules of Thumb
Friday, April 4, 2008

Mostly Behavioral Economics

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The value of a coin or banknote depends on its familiarity ; To check this result was not caused by some prejudice in favour of paper money ...
Sunday, March 30, 2008

US Election Explainer of the Day

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On Intrade , Al Gore defies the laws of probability ; Prob(Gore pres. | Gore nom.) = 2.1%/1.7% = 123.5% Therefore, if Gore is nominated, th...
2 comments:
Thursday, January 10, 2008

The Economist who can predict the future

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Bruce Bueno de Mesquita in the Riz Khan Show Profile of de Mesquita in The Good Magazine Some of his predictions; -designed a way to keep ...
1 comment:
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