The Bayesian Heresy

Economics, global development,current affairs, globalization, culture and more rants on the dismal science, and the society. "As usual, it's like being a kid in a candy store. I'm awed by the volume of high-quality daily links in general. Thanks!" - Chris Blattman

Thursday, January 10, 2008

The Poll that went wrong

More assorted on US Elections;



Why Presidential Polls Are Wrong

What was going on with the New Hampshire polls?

Nobody knows anything- Paul Krugman

New Hampshire's Polling Fiasco

What A Night! Interpreting the New Hampshire Primary

How Wrong Were The Polls?

Contra-Wilder Effect

What prediction markets can and cannot do

Why We Got it Wrong

Iowa’s Prescient Pollster

Why polls in New Hampshire were so far off

Number-Crunching the 2008 Election
New Hampshire, from Beijing
Blame Biden

Guest Blog: Who’s to Blame for Inaccurate Election Polls?

Clinton's Historic Surprise by Justin Wolfers

Once More, With Feeling

Prediction Market Industry Association = useless, so far

John Oliver and Andy Zaltzman ponder how the American election can be so long

John Zogby of Zogby International in The Daily Show
Anonymous at 1:33 AM

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