Monday, February 19, 2007

Global Warming and Developing World

A new study from the World Bank- The impact of sea level rise on developing countries : a comparative analysis;

“The authors calculate that, with a one meter sea-level rise, approximately 0.3 percent, or 194,000 square kilometers and 56 million people (1.28 percent of the population) in 84 developing countries would be impacted. An estimated 1.3 percent of GDP would be lost for those countries.

Loss estimates were also calculated for up to a 5 meter level rise.
The paper takes both a global and a regional perspective. In terms of population impacted, the top 10 countries/territories worldwide are: Vietnam, Egypt, Mauritania, Suriname, Guyana, French Guiana, Tunisia, United Arab Emirates, The Bahamas and Benin.

In Vietnam, an estimated 10.8 percent of the nation’s population would be displaced with even a 1 meter sea level rise – and disproportionately high impacts in the Mekong and Red River deltas

Egypt’s Nile Delta would be similarly affected, with 10.5 percent of the population at risk, and 25 percent of the delta inundated.”



Related;
The IPCC Debate on Sea-Level Rise: Critical Stakes for Poor Countries
“The stakes in this debate are critical for the people of coastal developing nations. Before joining the Center for Global Development in December, I worked with a World Bank research team that used the latest digital maps to study the implications of sea-level rise. Our results were sobering: Of the world's 300 million people who live less than 5 meters above sea level, 80% are in developing countries: 200 million in Asia (90 million in China alone); 17 million in the Middle East and North Africa; 11 million in Sub-Saharan Africa, and 8 million in Latin America and the Caribbean. Rapid sea-level rise will threaten millions with inundation, as well as more severe flooding from storm surges and abnormally high tides”


Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change

The Stern Review: a response (podcast from ABC)

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Thanks for sharing your experience