Thursday, January 10, 2008

The Economist who can predict the future

Bruce Bueno de Mesquita in the Riz Khan Show



Profile of de Mesquita in The Good Magazine

Some of his predictions;
-designed a way to keep Taiwan in the Asian Development Bank when China applied to ADB
-Correctly predicted the leadership of Iran after the death of Ayatollah Khomeini


Index; Rational Choice Theory / Game Theory / Africa’s Problems / US Iran confrontation prediction / Why we should learn Mathematics / Human Nature in Predictions /


Related from EconTalk;

Bueno de Mesquita on Reagan, Yeltsin, and the Strategy of Political Campaigning

The Political Economy of Power

Democracies and Dictatorships

1 comment:

gaddeswarup said...

There is a nice write up by Julie tehemeyser in Science News:
http://blog.sciencenews.org/mathtrek/2007/10/mathematical_fortunetelling.html#more